Only two weeks after the presidential position, Donald Trump has already crisis into the United States democracy.
On the first day of his inauguration, the President forgiven the people who raid the US Council on January 6, 2021 to hinder the removal from his power. He then fired more than 12 federal prosecutors who accused the riot on January 6. This is a pair of movements indicating that the federal government does not always punish Americans who commit political violence under the name of the president.
The administration is also forcing companies to give trumps and other concessions through the tactical threats of scrutiny of regulations. The Federal Communications Committee has put pressure on CBS NEWS a version that has not been integrated into regulatory authorities. 60 minutesLast year, an interview with Camara Harris seemed to have the right to reject an independent news network editing practice.
However, Trump's most severe attack on democratic norms is his capture of Congress's authority.
Separation of power is the basic feature of our constitutional order. The legislative representatives determine what the government spends on, and the president manage the spending.
With power, the Trump administration has led the privilege of Congress. Trump has paid a trillion dollar payment in Congress -approved spending. In the face of a court order to stop freezing this expenditure, the administration only retreated. The White House has canceled a memo that ordered a pause with the federal subsidy, but claimed that the “Federal Fund Freezing” is still in place.
This attack on the separation of power was not an impulsive abnormality. Rather, Trump, who led the White House budget bureau, and his candidate Russell Wart have many years that the President should have the authority to refrain from the parliamentary budget.
ELON MUSK, the President's top donor, claims the authority to place public servants on administrative leave, in an seemingly violent violation of civil servant protection required for Congress. More seriously, the mask and Trump closed in 1998 the US International Development Organization (USAID), an independent institution that was written by Congress. The administrative department does not have the authority to dissolve the Federal Organization that he does not like without parliamentary actions.
The mask also suggests that it will be justified by securing access to the Ministry of Finance system, which distributes several signs to the federal government, and blocking his doubtful spending.
This is a democratic emergency itself. However, the acquisition of the Trump administration threatens to worsen another imminent crisis. It is a battle to raise American debt restrictions.
In fact, the interaction between these two crises not only does the economic stability of the United States, but also provides a great opportunity to further integrate power to Trump.
If the parliament is unreliable to respect the expenditure to the president, you will probably not raise your debt restrictions.
In most political systems, the Ministry of Finance borrows the necessary funds to execute the will, when a member of the Diet ordering more expenditures rather than the tax.
But the United States has added strange and dangerous extra steps to this process. If the law of Congress requires the Ministry of Finance to borrow money beyond specific legal restrictions, the House of Representatives and Senate must vote to raise the restrictions (generally the “debt limit”). Called).
This is a deep and deeply functional institution. Congress has been struggling to raise the upper limit of debt to increase the number of debts to increase the number of borrowing in the United States to more than $ 31 trillion. If the parliament could not actually raise the debt restrictions, it would have an administrative agency in an impossible position: the president will need to disable the legitimate approved expenditure. or Ignore the debt restriction law. In fact, it is widely believed that the Ministry of Finance would make debt payments default due to sustainable violation of debt limitations. This is a development that is likely to cause an economic crisis.
The federal government borrowed beyond debt at the beginning of this year, but the Ministry of Finance can delay several months of violations through various extraordinary measures. However, if the parliament does not raise the debt limit someday or early summer -the exact timing is not yet clear -the government obliges that duty.
There is no way for a Republican member of the Congress to raise the debt limit without democratic cooperation. This is because House GOP has a majority of five -seater and the minimum in modern history. And many House of Republicans dislike voting to increase debt restrictions unless they are combined with politically toxic reductions to government expenditures.
Mike Johnson, the Republican Party, has already shown that it will cooperate with the Democratic Party under the law to raise debt restrictions.
Meanwhile, the House of Representatives Democratic Party recognizes that the GOP government, which has been unified, has a rare source of leverage. They are planning to refrain from supporting the increase unless the Republican members provide funds to various democratic priority and reverses some of Trump's presidential orders.
However, the rejection of the Trump administration to respect the provided spending in Congress may make such a ultra -controlled agreement impossible. After all, there is no basis for a bositan transaction if the Republican president is not actually detained by the parliamentary budget and simply refuses to manage democratic priority items. The Republican Republican members cannot make a reliable concession to the democratic counter part.
How to change the debt limit into a constitutional crisis
This is dangerous for its impact. Debt maximum violation of the debt led to economic impact.
However, the status of the parliament on debt restrictions can also provide the Trump administration to further worsen the capture of Congress and legalize.
The government that intends to reduce the federal budget can be accurately used by exploiting such a crisis. All expenditures cannot be executed. net. The administration can choose to continue expenditures for defense, border management, and other Republican priority while adjusting the expenditure to safety net, environment, and federal labor.
Such triage may be framed as an emergency measure at first. However, the parliament did not maintain one of the most basic liability -the opening of the government's extreme theory on the president of the president's expenditure. It will give you a part. Borrowing a federal government within its own regulations requires a powerful leader to be responsible for reducing spending from unfortunate councils.
This scenario is worth emphasizing that it is completely hypothetical. And I think it's much more likely than we avoid it. From today, the judiciary may decisively accuse the Trump administration's violation of parliamentary authorities during the fatigue in the United States (but it is completely unprecedented that the President will comply with such ruling. but). Otherwise, the White House could reduce unconstitutional activities, and thus the Democrats may regain the religion that the debt limit conditions are respected.
However, for the first two weeks of Trump, it gave me the cause of the worst scenario. For nearly 10 years, I have taken up Trump's F humiliation into a free democratic norm. And I did not anticipate that he could give power to order the illegal dissolution of an independent federal agency.
It is reasonable to take into account the possibility of a powerful AC (or prepared), as the Trump administration is unthinkable on a daily basis, as it is too far away before. It is one of such hypotheses that the debt -restriction crisis can cause constitutional collapse.
