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Home » The 87 overachieving suburbs where house price growth outperformed the market
Real estate

The 87 overachieving suburbs where house price growth outperformed the market

activepulsnewsBy activepulsnews20 February 2024No Comments10 Mins Read1 Views
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Analysis of the latest valuation data has revealed the standout suburbs across Australia where house prices have outpaced their neighbours.

While values in most suburbs grew over the past year, these hotspots recorded stronger growth than all other suburbs in the local area.

The PropTrack data highlights the suburb with the strongest growth in values over the past year in each statistical area 4 (SA4) region, which are geographical areas defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics with a minimum population of 100,000 persons.

In dozens of top-performing suburbs, surging house prices have boosted values for property owners but made it harder for house hunters to buy in, especially in markets where demand outweighs supply.

Prices lifted by more than 20% over the past year in the top growth suburbs in many regions, with the strongest gains concentrated in Perth, Adelaide and south east Queensland.

Sydney’s overachieving suburbs jumped in value by 10-20%, while most of the top growth suburbs in each Melbourne region lifted by 4-8%.

However in some regional areas, particularly in New South Wales and Victoria, many of the highest-growth suburbs grew slower than the top performers in the capitals, with annual growth rates of 0-4%.

Jump ahead to see the overachieving suburbs in:

PropTrack senior economist Eleanor Creagh said the suburbs where values rose the most in each region reflected stretched affordability following the jump in interest rates over the past two years.

“More affordable regions held up better in 2022 when interest rates were first rising, and in 2023 a lot of relatively affordable suburbs maintained this outperformance as interest rates continued to rise and housing affordability remained at multi-decade lows,” she said.

The data uses PropTrack’s automated valuation model (AVM) to determine a suburb’s median property value.

Affordable suburbs outperform wider markets

While a few pricey suburbs had the biggest gains in their area, many of the top growth suburbs in each region of the capitals were at the affordable end of their local market.

317 Daw Road, Runcorn, Qld 4113

Runcorn is among the most affordable suburbs in Brisbane’s south, but had the region’s strongest house price growth over the past year. Picture: realestate.com.au/sold


In almost every Brisbane region, the top growth suburb had some of the cheapest house prices in the area, such as Runcorn in the south (up 23.4%), Hemmant in the east (up 17.4%) and Wooloowin in the inner city (up 18%). Values in Brisbane overall rose almost 11% over the past year.

Top growth suburbs across Queensland

Source: PropTrack. Suburbs with price growth greater than 30% excluded. Regions excluded if no suburbs had positive home price growth.
Region (SA4) Top growth suburb Median value (AVM) YoY change (%)
Brisbane – East Hemmant $876,000 17.4%
Brisbane – North Nudgee $998,000 15.7%
Brisbane – South Runcorn $938,000 23.4%
Brisbane – West Riverhills $821,000 11.9%
Brisbane Inner City Wooloowin $1,300,000 18.2%
Ipswich Bundamba $532,000 13.8%
Logan – Beaudesert Woodridge $535,000 24.5%
Moreton Bay – North Caboolture South $599,000 22.3%
Moreton Bay – South Bunya $1,592,000 14.0%
Cairns East Innisfail $280,000 22.4%
Central Queensland Moura $232,000 26.3%
Darling Downs – Maranoa Miles $302,000 17.3%
Gold Coast Willow Vale $729,000 15.0%
Mackay – Isaac – Whitsunday Cannonvale $698,000 15.9%
Queensland – Outback Longreach $248,000 7.8%
Sunshine Coast Coolum Beach $1,284,000 10.2%
Toowoomba Helidon $453,000 14.5%
Townsville Nelly Bay $541,000 16.3%
Wide Bay Murgon $265,000 17.8%

Affordable suburbs also outperformed in every region of Perth and Adelaide, except in Perth’s inner suburbs where Mosman Park came out on top.

Perth house prices grew by about 16% over the past year, but values in some high achieving suburbs grew almost twice as fast.

71 Fendam Street, Warnbro, WA 6169

Warnbro in Perth had the strongest house price growth in Perth’s south west. Its median value is now $548,000. Picture: realestate.com.au/sold


Huge house price growth figures were recorded in affordable suburbs such as Greenfields (29.5%), Kelmscott (28.6%) and Warnbro (27.7%).

In Adelaide, where prices grew almost 11% in the past year, prices jumped Elizabeth North (26.7%) and Hackham West (21.8%).

All of these suburbs have a median value below $550,000.

Top growth suburbs across Western Australia

Source: PropTrack. Suburbs with price growth greater than 30% excluded. Regions excluded if no suburbs had positive home price growth.
Region (SA4) Top growth suburb Median value (AVM) YoY change (%)
Perth – South West Warnbro $548,000 27.7%
Perth – South East Kelmscott $493,000 28.6%
Perth – North West Girrawheen $505,000 26.9%
Perth – North East Stratton $455,000 24.7%
Perth – Inner Mosman Park $1,938,000 12.5%
Mandurah Greenfields $473,000 29.5%
Bunbury Carey Park $380,000 24.8%
Western Australia – Wheat Belt Lower Chittering $934,000 13.8%
Western Australia – Outback (South) West Beach $592,000 12.8%
Western Australia – Outback (North) South Hedland $440,000 4.2%

The outperformance of these suburbs reflected broader trends seen throughout 2023, with strong demand amid limited supply in Australia’s more affordable capitals, Ms Creagh said.

547 Main North Road, Elizabeth North, SA 5113

Elizabeth North is Adelaide’s most affordable suburb, even after prices rose almost 27% in the past year. Picture: realestate.com.au/sold


“Adelaide and Perth largely avoided the downturn in prices in 2022, and continued to outperform in 2023,” she said.

Top growth suburbs across South Australia

Source: PropTrack. Suburbs with price growth greater than 30% excluded. Regions excluded if no suburbs had positive home price growth.
Region (SA4) Top growth suburb Median value (AVM) YoY change (%)
Adelaide – Central and Hills Lobethal $616,000 19.6%
Adelaide – North Elizabeth North $383,000 26.7%
Adelaide – South Hackham West $543,000 21.8%
Adelaide – West Woodville Gardens $667,000 12.6%
Barossa – Yorke – Mid North Nuriootpa $528,000 16.3%
South Australia – Outback Port Lincoln $445,000 12.5%
South Australia – South East Murray Bridge $397,000 17.4%

Perth, Adelaide and Brisbane had the strongest home price growth throughout 2023, and while price growth could slow this year, these cities are still expected to outperform in 2024. 

“Population growth, limited stock on market and relatively affordability have seen both these capitals recording continued strong price growth,” Ms Creagh said.

Buyers seek relative affordability in pricey areas

Even in pricier areas like Sydney’s inner west and northern beaches, suburbs offering better bang-for-buck or relative value to surrounding regions recorded strong house price growth, including Dulwich Hill and Cromer.

51 Herbert Street, Dulwich Hill, NSW 2203

Dulwich Hill saw prices jump almost 14% in the past year. Picture: realestate.com.au/sold


Real estate agent David Diamantopoulos of The Agency Inner West said Dulwich Hill’s relative value, as well as improving infrastructure, drew upsizing buyers from areas with higher house prices.

“A lot of buyers are coming from the east,” he said. “Someone could sell their unit in the eastern suburbs and buy a house here.”

Top growth suburbs across NSW

Source: PropTrack. Suburbs with price growth greater than 30% excluded. Regions excluded if no suburbs had positive home price growth.
Region (SA4) Top growth suburb Median value (AVM) YoY change (%)
Sydney – Baulkham Hills and Hawkesbury Cherrybrook $2,209,000 11.5%
Sydney – Blacktown Acacia Gardens $1,285,000 13.1%
Sydney – City and Inner South Erskineville $1,702,000 11.7%
Sydney – Eastern Suburbs Vaucluse $9,096,000 15.2%
Sydney – Inner South West Belmore $1,458,000 15.8%
Sydney – Inner West Dulwich Hill $2,006,000 13.7%
Sydney – North Sydney and Hornsby Normanhurst $1,912,000 13.6%
Sydney – Northern Beaches Cromer $2,238,000 11.8%
Sydney – Outer South West Macquarie Links $1,391,000 8.6%
Sydney – Outer West and Blue Mountains Caddens $1,105,000 10.1%
Sydney – Parramatta North Parramatta $1,567,000 17.0%
Sydney – Ryde West Ryde $2,152,000 12.6%
Sydney – South West Elizabeth Hills $1,183,000 10.7%
Sydney – Sutherland Oyster Bay $1,640,000 10.4%
Central Coast Kariong $906,000 17.7%
New England and North West Moree $411,000 25.3%
Riverina Junee $410,000 9.9%
Far West and Orana Nyngan $262,000 8.9%
Murray Finley $307,000 8.8%
Hunter Valley exc Newcastle Muswellbrook $475,000 8.1%
Newcastle and Lake Macquarie Blacksmiths $1,078,000 5.8%
Illawarra Kembla Grange $839,000 5.7%
Central West Forbes $430,000 4.5%
Capital Region Broulee $1,042,000 3.9%
Richmond – Tweed Terranora $1,138,000 3.5%
Coffs Harbour – Grafton Junction Hill $562,000 2.4%
Mid North Coast Valla Beach $899,000 2.0%
Southern Highlands and Shoalhaven Old Erowal Bay $676,000 1.7%

Despite its $2 million median house value, Cromer is the fifth cheapest suburb on the Northern Beaches, and attracts both young families and downsizers seeking a beachside lifestyle without the price tag of neighbouring suburbs, according to local real estate agent Nick Duchatel of Belle Property.

“Were getting a lot of people from high dollar value suburbs who are not wanting a mortgage,” he said. 

“I’m negotiating with a buyer selling a $5 million house in Balgowlah and moving to Cromer to a $3 million house with no mortgage.”

31 Woodward Street, Cromer, NSW 2099

While it’s pricey, even for Sydney, Cromer is one of the more affordable suburbs of Sydney’s northern beaches, and had the region’s strongest house price growth in the past year. Picture: realestate.com.au/sold


Cromer’s position further from the beach keeps prices a little lower, while its affordability and older housing stock has made it a target with family buyers looking to add value, Mr Duchatel said

“The architecture of the homes in Cromer is the 70s, so that mid century vibe is what people are wanting as well.”

But in more affordable markets of Sydney, such as the south west, outer west and Blacktown, the suburbs with the highest growth in their area had higher prices relative to their region, including Elizabeth Hills, Caddens and Acacia Gardens.

190 Cadda Ridge Drive, Caddens, NSW 2747

Prices in Caddens grew more rapidly than any other suburbs in Sydney’s outer west. Picture: realestate.com.au


Real estate agent Joey Lustri of Elders said Caddens offered newer homes than many surrounding suburbs, which was drawing buyers from pricier areas, while its position allowed easy access to the motorway and future Western Sydney Airport.

“We’re getting buyers coming out a bit further west because of the proximity to everything,” he said.

“You’re getting a relatively new property, or in some cases a brand new property, in a really premium location.”

Top growth suburbs across Victoria

Source: PropTrack. Suburbs with price growth greater than 30% excluded. Regions excluded if no suburbs had positive home price growth.
Region (SA4) Top growth suburb Median value (AVM) YoY change (%)
Melbourne – Inner South Yarra $2,034,000 4.3%
Melbourne – Inner East Doncaster East $1,537,000 6.9%
Melbourne – Inner South Waterways $1,545,000 7.9%
Melbourne – North East Watsonia North $906,000 4.9%
Melbourne – North West Attwood $924,000 4.6%
Melbourne – Outer East Wantirna South $1,203,000 6.6%
Melbourne – South East Notting Hill $1,152,000 8.5%
Melbourne – West Mount Cottrell $688,000 3.8%
Mornington Peninsula Frankston North $578,000 2.3%
Latrobe – Gippsland Rosedale $487,000 9.7%
North West Cohuna $361,000 6.7%
Shepparton Tongala $380,000 6.7%
Hume Beechworth $774,000 6.4%
Warrnambool and South West Mortlake $329,000 4.3%
Geelong Wandana Heights $1,046,000 3.2%
Bendigo Epsom $581,000 2.5%
Ballarat Lake Wendouree $1,096,000 0.9%

The trend towards higher price growth in affordable suburbs wasn’t as clear in Melbourne, where price growth has been more subdued than much of the country.

Nonetheless, relatively affordable suburbs like Mount Cottrell, Watsonia North and Attwood had some of the highest growth in their respective regions.

Top growth suburbs across Tasmania, NT and ACT

Source: PropTrack. Suburbs with price growth greater than 30% excluded. Regions excluded if no suburbs had positive home price growth.
Region (SA4) Top growth suburb Median value (AVM) YoY change (%)
Australian Capital Territory Campbell $2,048,000 13.3%
Darwin Humpty Doo $627,000 10.7%
Northern Territory – Outback Katherine East $359,000 0.2%
Launceston and North East Westbury $551,000 8.0%
West and North West Smithton $389,000 6.8%
South East Ranelagh $678,000 1.3%

Smaller capitals such as Darwin, Hobart and Canberra aren’t as straightforward to compare at the regional level, given one SA4 region encompasses each city. 

However, the highest growth suburbs in Darwin and Canberra tended to be pricier, while Hobart had no suburbs where median values rose over the past year.

Values jump where demand outstrips supply

While high interest costs have pushed buyers to suburbs where houses are cheaper, a lack of properties on the market in many affordable suburbs has helped drive the uplift in prices.

With strong competition and fewer properties to choose from, houses in some outperforming areas tend to sell very quickly — sometimes in as little as eight days.

In Warnbro in Perth’s south west, where prices rose almost 28% over the past year, competition between investors and owner occupiers for affordable houses has escalated amid a shortage of properties for sale, according to real estate agent Nikki De Rijcke of JW Residential.

“There’s a lot of investor activity that’s happened over the past two years which has been driving the prices up,” she said.

“In Warnbro in particular there are a lot of owner occupiers who have missed out and it’s just driving competition higher,” she said.

Get your realEstimate™

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Ms De Rijcke said most properties were sold within a week of hitting the market, with some emotional buyers submitting big offers after constantly missing out. 

“Some agents sell within a day to the first buyer that comes along,” she said.

“The higher end is taking a bit longer but I find anything below $750,000 is snapped up pretty quickly.”

With fewer homes coming to the market, the situation is expected to persist this year, according to Ms Creagh.

“Stock on market is set to remain tight in Perth and Adelaide where total listing volumes continue to sit below decade averages,” she said.

“Because of this, we expect these smaller capital cities who’ve been the best performing markets in 2023 will continue to see the strongest price growth going into next year.”

Suburb in Western Sydney, Australia

New home construction has slowed amid strong population growth, limiting supply while keeping prices elevated. Picture: Getty


Ms Creagh said affordability constraints could hold back price growth to a degree, but the ongoing issue of a lack of supply of new homes would cause prices to keep rising.

“Affordability has deteriorated markedly and remains stretched which will weigh on price growth,” she said. “The economy is expected to continue to slow, and labour market conditions are weaker and will continue to deteriorate.”

“In saying that, limited new housing construction and a slowdown in the completion of new homes due to high costs and build times will keep housing supply tight against a backdrop of continued population growth.

“These factors will likely lead to further price gains over the 2024 calendar year, though at a slower pace than we’ve seen in 2023.”



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